Tennessee
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 83.6772Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Syracuse ACC ( 3- 9, 68.6) 45-26 906 H Ea Tenn St 72-17 913 H Georgia SEC (12- 2, 92.2) 41-44 920 H UAB AME ( 4- 8, 68.2) 24- 6 927 A Miss St SEC ( 5- 8, 76.8) 41-34 1011 H Arkansas SEC ( 2-10, 78.1) 34-31 1018 A Alabama SEC (11- 4, 89.4) 20-37 1025 A Kentucky SEC ( 5- 7, 78.7) 56-34 1101 H Oklahoma SEC (10- 3, 87.3) 27-33 1115 H NM St CUSA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 42- 9 1122 A Florida SEC ( 4- 8, 79.1) 31-11 1129 H Vanderbilt SEC (10- 3, 88.7) 24-45 1230 N Illinois B10 ( 9- 4, 83.8) 28-30
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Syracuse 45-26 19 20 0.00
913 H Georgia 41-44 -3 -3 0.22
920 H UAB 24- 6 18 21 0.00
927 A Miss St 41-34 7 2 ++ 5.38
1011 H Arkansas 34-31 3 11 --- -7.87
1018 A Alabama 20-37 -17 -11 - -3.03
1025 A Kentucky 56-34 22 0 +++ 14.30
1101 H Oklahoma 27-33 -6 2 --- -7.59
1115 H NM St 42- 9 33 24 0.00
1122 A Florida 31-11 20 -1 +++ 14.67
1129 H Vanderbilt 24-45 -21 0 --- -14.24
1230 N Illinois 28-30 -2 0 -1.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 H Arkansas 34-31 3 11 --- -7.87 1101 H Oklahoma 27-33 -6 2 --- -7.59 1129 H Vanderbilt 24-45 -21 0 --- -14.24 1018 A Alabama 20-37 -17 -11 - -3.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 A Kentucky 56-34 22 0 +++ 14.30 1122 A Florida 31-11 20 -1 +++ 14.67 927 A Miss St 41-34 7 2 ++ 5.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Syracuse ( 3- 9, 68.6) 45-26 -31.29 19.93 -5.26 1.06 31.18
3 H Georgia (12- 2, 92.2) 41-44 -7.75 43.47 -5.26 1.06 -6.91
3 H UAB ( 4- 8, 68.2) 24- 6 -31.66 19.56 -5.26 1.06 30.38
3 A Miss St ( 5- 8, 76.8) 41-34 -23.10 28.12 5.26 1.06 70.93
3 H Arkansas ( 2-10, 78.1) 34-31 -21.84 29.38 -5.26 1.06 51.26
3 A Alabama (11- 4, 89.4) 20-37 -10.51 40.71 5.26 1.06 -2.79
3 A Kentucky ( 5- 7, 78.7) 56-34 -21.19 30.03 5.26 1.06 75.00
3 H Oklahoma (10- 3, 87.3) 27-33 -12.56 38.66 -5.26 1.06 -9.46
3 H NM St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 42- 9 -34.81 16.41 -5.26 1.06 23.69
3 A Florida ( 4- 8, 79.1) 31-11 -20.81 30.41 5.26 1.06 75.80
3 H Vanderbilt (10- 3, 88.7) 24-45 -11.21 40.01 -5.26 1.06 -8.75
3 N Illinois ( 9- 4, 83.8) 28-30 -16.06 35.16 -0.00 1.06 -8.53
------
321.79
|
winning pts = 358.2292 losing points = -36.4402
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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